Bitcoin Market Regimes

Historical bull & bear market cycles with regime-based analysis

Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle

Cycle 4
Bull Run Start
Price momentum building
Cycle Progress42.4%
620
Days Since Halving
840
Days Until Next

Halving Events

Halving #1
11/28/2012
Halving #2
7/9/2016
Halving #3
5/11/2020
Halving #4Current
4/19/2024
Halving #5
4/19/2028

Cycle Phases

📥 Accumulation
0-25%
📈 Bull Run Start ← Current
25-50%
🚀 Peak Zone
50-75%
📉 Bear Market
75-100%
Next halving: in over 2 years

Global M2

💵

Loading M2 data...

Bitcoin Cycle Repeat Pattern

Historical Bitcoin cycle overlays showing repeating patterns across halving cycles

📈
View Interactive Cycle Chart
Click to open advanced Bitcoin cycle analysis
Open Chart
External chart by bitbo.io
📚

About Market Regimes

Market regimes are identified using drawdown-based analysis, moving averages, and historical patterns. Bull markets are characterized by sustained uptrends with shallow corrections, while bear markets show deep drawdowns. Understanding these cycles helps identify optimal entry/exit points and risk management strategies.